Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Francisco CerundoloPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Felix Auger-Aliassime
#4 · 26 yrs · R
8w3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇦🇷Francisco Cerundolo
#25 · 28 yrs · R
4Felix Auger-Aliassime and Francisco Cerundolo have met 3 times since 2023; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–1. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 5 sets to Cerundolo's 3. Their most recent meeting: Francisco Cerundolo won at Miami Open - Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 24/44 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 20/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 30/32 | 84% | 26/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 68% | 21/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 1, Cerundolo 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Cerundolo
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Felix Auger-Aliassime.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 27, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 20, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Francisco Cerundolo | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | +0.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 3,258 mi · 5,243 km |
| Route | — | MEX → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Cerundolo's 50%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | W 63 36 63 | L 46 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 57 61 76 76 | W 67 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | W 67 75 76 | L 64 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | L 64 57 46 | W 64 67 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 63 75 61 | W 60 62 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 75 61 | W 64 63 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 36 26 | L 63 46 36 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 62 | L 67 46 |
| Mariano Navone | L 67 67 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 36 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Jaume Munar
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tommy Paul
HSBC Championships - London · Final
Jun 21
Brandon Nakashima
HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 20
Arthur Fery
HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Jenson Brooksby
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–66 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 61% |
| Sets won | 66% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Cerundolo |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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