Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Frances Tiafoe have met 5 times since 2021; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–1. Tiafoe has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 8 sets to Tiafoe's 5. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 25/40 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 3/16 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 18/56 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 23/48 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 23/35 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 31/33 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 2, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 4th Round
Jun 19, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Sep 5, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 18/18 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 89% | 16/18 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 56% | 10/18 |
| 10 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 17% | 3/18 |
| 15 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/18 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.33 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | -11.2% | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Auger-Aliassime has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tiafoe's 50%).
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 67 76 63 67 61 | L 67 64 67 |
| Camilo Ugo Carabelli | W 46 76 75 | L 67 67 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 67 | L 36 57 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 46 76 64 | L |
| Ben Shelton | W 46 76 75 | L 64 36 36 57 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 46 26 | W 76 64 76 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 62 62 | W 64 62 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | L 75 46 63 75 | W 64 64 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 57 61 76 76 | W 75 63 |
| Learner Tien | W 67 75 76 | W 64 46 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pablo Carreno Busta
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Arthur Rinderknech
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Quentin Halys
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CAN-FRA · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Rinky Hijikata
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–68 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 71% |
| Sets won | 64% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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