Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Felix Auger-Aliassime and Frances Tiafoe have met 4 times since 2021; Felix Auger-Aliassime leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Auger-Aliassime leads 2–0. Across all meetings Auger-Aliassime has taken 8 sets to Tiafoe's 3. Their most recent meeting: Frances Tiafoe won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 26/37 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 14/52 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 24/44 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 20/32 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 30/32 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Auger-Aliassime 2, Tiafoe 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Auger-Aliassime
🤖 Servebot
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2026
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Nov 4, 2022
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Apr 22, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Sep 5, 2021
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Felix Auger-Aliassime | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 58% | 7/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.50 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -9.3% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.12u | +6.20u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Auger-Aliassime and Tiafoe posted a 70% win rate.
| Opponent | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nakashima | W 57 61 76 76 | W 75 63 |
| Arthur Fils | L 36 67 | L 36 61 06 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 62 | W 76 75 |
| Learner Tien | W 67 75 76 | W 64 46 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 76 63 | W 57 62 62 |
| Terence Atmane | L 36 61 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 61 62 | L 64 67 67 64 36 |
| Daniel Altmaier | W 46 64 46 61 76 | W 61 63 |
| Nuno Borges | W 63 36 63 | W 64 64 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 64 46 46 46 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Michael Zheng
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Dino Prizmic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Learner Tien
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Nuno Borges
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 15
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–66 matches
| Metric | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 73% | 66% |
| Sets won | 66% | 59% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Auger-Aliassime | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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