Federico Bondioli vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Bondioli and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bondioli has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bondioli | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Bondioli | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 28/42 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 27/70 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 21/30 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 13/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 34/41 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 28/41 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bondioli 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bondioli
🎾 All-Court
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Federico Bondioli and Sebastian Baez are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 142 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.04 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +13.0% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.39u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Bondioli and Baez posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | L 26 64 46 | W 64 62 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 67 63 76 | L 67 46 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 75 60 | W 64 75 |
| Adam Walton | L 16 57 | L 26 26 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 76 75 | W 46 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Arnaboldi
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sumit Nagal
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Guido Ivan Justo
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sebastian Baez
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Henry Bernet
Trieste Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–70 matches
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 54% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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