Federico Bondioli vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Federico Bondioli and Sebastian Baez have met 1 time since 2026; Sebastian Baez leads 1–0. Across all meetings Bondioli has taken 0 sets to Baez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Bundesliga - men (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bondioli | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Federico Bondioli | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 27/42 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 30/74 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 18/32 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 24/35 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 12/23 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 33/41 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 27/41 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bondioli 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bondioli
🛡️ The Spoiler
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 96 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Bundesliga - men
C Clay
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bondioli | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Federico Bondioli | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.33 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +13.9% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +1.67u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Bondioli and Baez posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | L 26 64 46 | W 64 62 |
| Alvaro Guillen Meza | W 67 63 76 | L 67 46 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 75 60 | W 64 75 |
| Emilio Nava | W 46 76 75 | W 46 75 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Sumit Nagal
Cordenons Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Guido Ivan Justo
Cordenons Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Sebastian Baez
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Henry Bernet
Trieste Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Maxim Mrva
Trieste Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 64–74 matches
| Metric | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bondioli | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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