Andrea Guerrieri vs Federico BondioliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นAndrea Guerrieri
#187 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
34 meetings ยท sets 4โ5

๐ฎ๐นFederico Bondioli
#304 ยท 21 yrs ยท L
3Andrea Guerrieri and Federico Bondioli have met 4 times since 2026; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup in 2026 on clay. On clay courts they are level 2โ2. Guerrieri has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Guerrieri has taken 4 sets to Bondioli's 5. Their most recent meeting: Andrea Guerrieri won at Rome Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Guerrieri | Bondioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Bondioli | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 44/64 | 64% | 27/42 |
| Wins a set when losing | 21% | 5/24 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 25/88 | 41% | 30/74 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 27/49 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 21/30 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 14/28 | 54% | 13/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 51/51 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 44/51 | 66% | 27/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Guerrieri 1, Bondioli 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Guerrieri
๐ช Counterpuncher
Bondioli
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 958 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Federico Bondioli.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Apr 21, 2026
Rome Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Apr 6, 2026
Atkinsons Monza Open
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 23, 2026
Naples Challenger
C Clay ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Mar 3, 2026
Guerri Napoli Tennis Cup
C Clay ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Guerrieri | Bondioli | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Andrea Guerrieri | Federico Bondioli | ||
| 1 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 5 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ6 | 7โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.45 | 2.49 |
| ROI % | +30.1% | +5.2% |
| Units P/L | +6.03u | +0.67u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 10 | 1 |
| Distance | 4,301 mi ยท 6,921 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | POL โ CAN โ USA | ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Guerrieri has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Bondioli's 30%).
| Opponent | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Federico Arnaboldi | W 64 64 | L |
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 36 64 61 | W 36 63 75 |
| Michele Ribecai | W 46 75 62 | W 63 62 |
| Max Alcala Gurri | L 57 57 | L 26 06 |
| Francesco Forti | L 67 46 | L 63 67 57 |
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | W 76 75 | W 76 67 64 |
| Gabriele Piraino | W 61 64 | L 06 62 46 |
| Oleg Prihodko | W 67 63 62 | L 46 64 46 |
| Filip Cristian Jianu | W 61 64 | L 26 16 |
| Pietro Orlando Fellin | W 63 64 | L 62 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alex de Minaur
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Aziz Dougaz
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Joel Schwaerzler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
August Holmgren
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Soon Woo Kwon
Quebec City Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Alexander Donski
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Final
Aug 9
Daniil Glinka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 8
Federico Arnaboldi
Como Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Max Alcala Gurri
Cordenons Challenger ยท Final
Jul 19
Matyas Fuele
Cordenons Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Sumit Nagal
Cordenons Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Guido Ivan Justo
Cordenons Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Guillen Meza
Cordenons Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Sebastian Baez
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Henry Bernet
Trieste Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 74โ89 matches
| Metric | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Guerrieri | Bondioli |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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