Emma Navarro vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Naomi Osaka have met 2 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On grass courts Navarro leads 2–0. Navarro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 4 sets to Osaka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 11/22 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 23/47 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 11/30 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 11/16 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 2, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 8/17 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +0.2% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.03u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Navarro's 43%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 36 64 62 | W 61 63 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 61 62 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 46 64 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 26 16 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 73% |
| Sets won | 52% | 67% |
| Games won | 50% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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