Emma Navarro vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Emma Navarro and Naomi Osaka have met 2 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2024 on grass. On grass courts Navarro leads 2–0. Navarro has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Navarro has taken 4 sets to Osaka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Navarro | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Emma Navarro | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 14/25 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 21/45 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 10/27 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 6/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 14/22 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Navarro 2, Osaka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Emma Navarro and Naomi Osaka are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 24, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jul 3, 2024
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Navarro | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Emma Navarro | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +21.7% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.17u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Navarro's 56%).
| Opponent | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 63 75 | L 57 61 67 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 61 64 | W 76 64 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 26 | W 63 36 75 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 36 64 62 | W 61 63 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | L 36 64 36 | W 46 64 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 75 26 63 | L 26 16 |
| Eva Lys | W 76 63 | W 64 46 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 06 36 | W 76 67 64 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 36 36 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–45 matches
| Metric | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 75% |
| Sets won | 54% | 68% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Navarro | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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