Elmer Moller vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elmer Moller and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2025; Tommy Paul leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Paul has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moller has taken 1 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 10/47 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 8/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🧱 The Wall across 482 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–6 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.55 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -21.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.79u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 639 mi · 1,028 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | GER → GBR | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Moller's 33%).
| Opponent | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 26 26 | L 76 46 36 |
| Zsombor Piros | L 26 63 46 | W 76 63 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 06 64 | W 61 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Anton Matusevich
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Ivan Ivanov
Roehampton 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rudolf Molleker
Hamburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jerome Kym
Hagen Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Carlos Taberner
Hagen Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Raul Brancaccio
Hagen Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jamie Mackenzie
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jamie Mackenzie
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–51 matches
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 69% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.