Elmer Moller vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Elmer Moller and Tommy Paul have met 2 times since 2025; Tommy Paul leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2025 on clay. Paul has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moller has taken 1 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 17/53 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 15/23 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 25/30 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
🧱 The Wall
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 57% vs 🧱 The Wall across 374 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tommy Paul.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 26, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
May 25, 2025
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 5/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–9 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.07 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | -11.1% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.10u | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | ITA | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Moller's 40%).
| Opponent | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Zsombor Piros | W 16 61 75 | W 76 63 |
| Dino Prizmic | L 67 67 | W 62 63 57 64 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 75 36 46 | W 67 61 63 63 |
| Francisco Cerundolo | L 26 26 | L 76 46 36 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 76 06 64 | W 61 36 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matej Dodig
Braga Challenger · Final
Oct 11
Vilius Gaubas
Braga Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thiago Monteiro
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–58 matches
| Metric | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 69% |
| Sets won | 54% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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