Elmer Moller vs Tiago PereiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
๐ฉ๐ฐElmer Moller
#181 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 6โ4
๐ต๐นTiago Pereira
#339 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
4Elmer Moller and Tiago Pereira have met 4 times since 2024; Elmer Moller leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Lisbon in 2024 on clay. On clay courts Moller leads 3โ1. Moller has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moller has taken 6 sets to Pereira's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elmer Moller won at Braga Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moller | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elmer Moller | Tiago Pereira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 21/28 | 67% | 36/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 8/23 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 15/51 | 35% | 34/96 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 16/29 | 54% | 30/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 24/28 | 79% | 44/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 64% | 36/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moller 1, Pereira 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moller
๐งฑ The Wall
Pereira
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ช Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 691 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tiago Pereira.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2026
Braga Challenger
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2025
Montemar Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 22, 2025
Lisbon Challenger
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 22, 2024
Lisbon
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moller | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elmer Moller | Tiago Pereira | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 90% | 27/30 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 50% | 15/30 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 30% | 9/30 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 3% | 1/30 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 3% | 1/30 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/30 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9โ9 | 19โ11 |
| Avg odds | 2.00 | 2.02 |
| ROI % | -17.6% | +18.7% |
| Units P/L | -3.16u | +5.62u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 4 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi ยท 0 km | 4,102 mi ยท 6,602 km |
| Route | ITA | ESP โ POL โ BUL โ POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Moller has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Pereira's 25%).
| Opponent | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Rudolf Molleker | L 16 36 | W 26 64 76 |
| Andrej Martin | W 64 61 | L 75 36 46 |
| Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva | W 75 62 | W 64 60 |
| Andy Andrade | W 75 62 | L 46 46 |
| Nerman Fatic | W 63 67 61 | L 57 26 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 76 63 | L 26 26 |
| Jaime Faria | L 16 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Carlos Lopez Montagud | W 75 64 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tiago Pereira
Braga Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Zsombor Piros
Braga Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thiago Monteiro
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 5
Carlos Taberner
Bari Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 29
Iliyan Radulov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 ยท Rubber 5
Sep 19
Grigor Dimitrov
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Maks Kasnikowski
Manacor Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Pol Martin Tiffon
Braga Challenger ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Otto Virtanen
Porto Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Plovdiv 4 Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Rudolf Molleker
Szczecin Challenger ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 51โ96 matches
| Metric | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 56% |
| Sets won | 55% | 55% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moller | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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