Elise Mertens vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wElise Mertens and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–1. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 17, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 6 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Kostyuk's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 63 16 26 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 26 26 |
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | W 67 63 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | L 64 26 57 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 57 75 46 |
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 61 64 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 46 60 62 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | W 62 46 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 78% |
| Sets won | 59% | 72% |
| Games won | 54% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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