Elise Mertens vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2022; Marta Kostyuk leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Kostyuk leads 2–1. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 4. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 33% | 16/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 60% | 21/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Kostyuk 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 17, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 12, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mertens's 50%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Diane Parry | L 46 60 36 | W 61 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 26 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 46 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | L 46 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 36 46 |
| Emma Navarro | W 62 62 | W 62 46 61 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 63 60 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | L 62 26 46 |
| Ella Seidel | W 63 64 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 78% |
| Sets won | 58% | 71% |
| Games won | 54% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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