Elise Mertens vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 5–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Maria Sakkari have met 6 times since 2019; Maria Sakkari leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Rabat in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–1. On clay courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 11, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 24, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
May 3, 2019
Rabat
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakkari's 30%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | W 64 62 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 16 46 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 67 36 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 63 | W 60 76 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 46 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | L 16 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | L 36 36 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 46 06 | L 61 36 26 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | L 06 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 47% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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