Elise Mertens vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 5–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Maria Sakkari have met 6 times since 2019; Maria Sakkari leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Rabat in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Sakkari leads 2–1. On clay courts Sakkari leads 2–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 5 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2025
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 3, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Feb 11, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Oct 24, 2019
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round Robin
May 3, 2019
Rabat
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | -19.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | -2.69u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sakkari's 20%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | L 57 26 | L 64 67 46 |
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | L 64 16 16 |
| Coco Gauff | W 63 63 | L 16 46 |
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | L 61 36 26 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | W 64 62 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | L 61 67 26 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | W 57 61 75 | L 67 36 |
| Linda Noskova | L 36 57 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 46 16 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 46 76 63 | L 16 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 59% | 51% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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