Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Elise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2021; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,096 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 26 | L 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 61 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 26 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 76 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 57 75 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | L 46 46 |
| Polina Kudermetova | W 76 63 | W 62 61 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Coco Gauff | L 62 67 36 | L 46 64 57 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 26 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–51 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 58% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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