Elise Mertens vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleElise Mertens and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2021; Elise Mertens leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Mertens leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 4 sets to Fernandez's 2. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 2, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 16, 2025
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2023
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 7 |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mertens and Fernandez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Maja Chwalinska | L 26 26 | W 16 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 36 36 | W 62 75 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 36 63 57 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 26 67 |
| Elena Rybakina | W 76 61 | L 76 46 67 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 16 63 60 | W 57 75 63 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | L 46 46 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W | L 36 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 36 26 | W 64 64 |
| Tereza Valentova | L 46 16 | W 60 57 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–58 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 55% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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