Elise Mertens vs Emma NavarroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#24 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
Elise Mertens and Emma Navarro have met 3 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Navarro leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Navarro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 3 sets to Navarro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Emma Navarro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 21/29 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 15/49 | 49% | 23/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 19/33 | 37% | 11/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 4/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Navarro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Navarro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2024
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Emma Navarro | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | +12.4% | +0.2% |
| Units P/L | +1.73u | +0.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Navarro's 67%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 64 67 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 67 64 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 75 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | W 60 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diane Parry
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Final
Aug 30
Nikola Bartunkova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Semifinals
Aug 29
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Panna Udvardy
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diane Parry
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Anna Bondar
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Sofia Kenin
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Paula Badosa
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–49 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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