Elise Mertens vs Emma NavarroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇧🇪Elise Mertens
#14 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–4
🇺🇸Emma Navarro
#27 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElise Mertens and Emma Navarro have met 3 times since 2024; Emma Navarro leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Navarro leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Navarro leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Mertens has taken 3 sets to Navarro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elise Mertens won at Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mertens | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elise Mertens | Emma Navarro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 24/34 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 47% | 21/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 21/38 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 24/31 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mertens 1, Navarro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mertens
💥 Big Hitter
Navarro
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Elise Mertens and Emma Navarro are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 17, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 13, 2024
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 13, 2024
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mertens | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elise Mertens | Emma Navarro | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 12/16 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 9/16 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | +23.4% | +21.7% |
| Units P/L | +3.74u | +2.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km | — |
| Route | SGP → ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mertens has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Navarro's 67%).
| Opponent | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | W 76 63 | W 75 26 63 |
| Katie Volynets | W 60 46 75 | L 36 26 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 61 36 06 | W 63 75 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 61 64 | W 64 67 64 |
| Anna Bondar | W 36 64 64 | W 67 63 62 |
| Marie Bouzkova | W 64 64 | L 67 64 26 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | L 36 36 | L 46 26 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 75 60 | W 75 61 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 36 63 | W 60 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Qinwen Zheng
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 10
Iga Swiatek
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Coco Gauff
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Jelena Ostapenko
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Katie Volynets
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Maria Timofeeva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–55 matches
| Metric | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 56% |
| Sets won | 59% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mertens | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.