Elena Rybakina vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–3
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#16 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
5wElena Rybakina and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar Total Open - Doha in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Cirstea's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 78% | 32/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 30% | 17/57 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 75% | 30/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 93% | 37/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 80% | 32/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Cirstea
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sorana Cirstea.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 29, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2020
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Cirstea's 60%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 64 57 62 | W 26 63 75 |
| Coco Gauff | W 36 64 64 | L 46 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 61 64 | L 36 64 26 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 63 62 | W 63 63 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | W 62 76 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 63 62 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 57 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | W 62 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Jasmine Paolini
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Diane Parry
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Julia Grabher
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 72% |
| Sets won | 74% | 69% |
| Games won | 58% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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