Elena Rybakina vs Sorana CirsteaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
83 meetings · sets 5–3
🇷🇴Sorana Cirstea
#17 · 36 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Sorana Cirstea have met 3 times since 2020; Elena Rybakina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Qatar Total Open - Doha in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Cirstea's 3. Their most recent meeting: Sorana Cirstea won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 76% | 29/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 92% | 34/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 78% | 29/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 1, Cirstea 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Cirstea
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 29, 2020
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Feb 24, 2020
Qatar Total Open - Doha
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Cirstea | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Sorana Cirstea | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | -38.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | -3.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Cirstea's 50%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Diana Shnaider | W 64 64 | W 62 76 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 26 64 57 |
| Coco Gauff | W 57 62 62 | L 46 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | W 46 76 64 | L 36 64 26 |
| Elise Mertens | L 67 16 | W 63 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 62 36 67 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 57 46 | L 57 46 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 67 75 60 | W 62 60 |
| Katie Boulter | L 57 62 46 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Nikola Bartunkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Maya Joint
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Kimberly Birrell
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Sara Bejlek
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Maddison Inglis
The HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 68% |
| Sets won | 73% | 65% |
| Games won | 58% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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