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Head-to-Head

Elena Rybakina vs Paula BadosaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Elena Rybakina

🇰🇿Elena Rybakina

#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed

8
5–3

8 meetings · sets 12–8

Paula Badosa

🇪🇸Paula Badosa

#83 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed

5w

Elena Rybakina and Paula Badosa have met 8 times since 2019; Elena Rybakina leads 5–3. Their first meeting came at Bucharest in 2019 on clay. On hard courts Rybakina leads 4–2. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Rybakina has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 12 sets to Badosa's 8. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Brisbane International - Brisbane (2026).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorRybakinaBadosa
Wins in straight sets68%78%
Wins a set when losing62%50%
Goes to a deciding set37%33%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite60%55%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog71%50%
Tiebreak sets won53%58%
Wins after taking set 194%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 180%78%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 8 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 3, Badosa 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Rybakina

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Badosa

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

8 career meetings, newest first

Jan 8, 2026

Brisbane International - Brisbane

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
62
Rybakina

Feb 19, 2025

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · 3rd Round

46
768
762
Rybakina

Mar 25, 2023

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
75
63
Rybakina

Mar 13, 2023

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells

H Hard · 3rd Round

63
75
Rybakina

Nov 9, 2022

Billie Jean King Cup, Finals

H Hard · Rubber 2

26
63
46
Badosa

Apr 21, 2022

Porsche Tennis Grand Prix - Stuttgart

C Clay · 2nd Round

26
64
647
Badosa

Aug 19, 2021

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · 3rd Round

26
657
Badosa

Jul 17, 2019

Bucharest

C Clay · Round of 32

75
7764
Rybakina

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeRybakinaBadosa
1 or more100%94%
3 or more73%71%
5 or more73%35%
10 or more27%6%
15 or more13%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricRybakinaBadosa
W-L11–313–4
Avg odds1.321.70
ROI %+6.4%+18.2%
Units P/L+0.90u+3.09u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricRybakinaBadosa
Countries2—
Events2—
Matches8—
Distance411 mi · 662 km—
RouteCAN → POL—

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Badosa's 57%).

OpponentRybakinaBadosa
Coco Gauff
W
57
62
62
W
16
63
62
Yulia Putintseva
W
63
63
W
61
62
Linda Noskova
W
63
64
L
16
36
Elina Svitolina
L
62
46
46
L
75
26
57
Maria Sakkari
W
64
61
W
63
64
Elena Gabriela Ruse
W
46
63
75
W
26
62
75
Eva Lys
L
36
61
46
L
62
57
46

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Rybakina
WWWWWWWW
W

Diana Shnaider

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

64
64

Aug 20

W

Magdalena Frech

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

64
762

Aug 17

W

Taylor Townsend

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 16

W

Coco Gauff

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

57
62
62

Aug 13

W

Naomi Osaka

National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals

46
765
64

Aug 12

W

Liudmila Samsonova

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

64
46
64

Aug 9

W

Ann Li

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

62
75

Aug 7

W

Daria Kasatkina

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

63
57
64

Aug 5

Badosa
LWWWWWWW
L

Mayar Sherif

MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · Quarterfinals

647
762
46

Jul 24

W

Panna Udvardy

MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 2nd Round

64
61

Jul 23

W

Katarzyna Kawa

MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round

75
64

Jul 22

W

Tamara Zidansek

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Semifinals

36
75
761

Jul 18

W

Panna Udvardy

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · Quarterfinals

64
762

Jul 17

W

Alevtina Ibragimova

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round

765
16
64

Jul 16

W

Anhelina Kalinina

UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round

63
61

Jul 14

W

Simona Waltert

Nordea Open - Bastad · Final

75
75

Jul 11

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ RybakinaRybakina ahead↓ Badosa

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–70 matches

MetricRybakinaBadosa
Matches won81%59%
Sets won73%59%
Games won58%52%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageRybakinaBadosa
WTA 50011
WTA 25010
WTA 100031
Other01

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceRybakinaBadosa
Hard42
Clay11

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Elena Rybakina vs Paula Badosa FAQ

Elena Rybakina leads the head-to-head 5–3 over 8 meetings.