Elena Rybakina vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#1 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 5–2
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#54 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Katie Boulter have met 3 times since 2023; Elena Rybakina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Boulter's 2. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 40/60 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 58% | 7/12 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 27/72 | 36% | 15/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 61% | 39/64 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 47/51 | 79% | 19/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 40/51 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Boulter
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 3,072 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 15/16 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 14/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 10 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–2 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.47 | 3.03 |
| ROI % | +28.5% | -36.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.85u | -2.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Karolina Muchova | W 75 61 | L 67 16 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 76 63 | W 63 63 |
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | W 62 64 | W 76 64 |
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 76 36 36 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | L 75 46 26 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 57 46 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 67 67 |
| Jessica Pegula | W 26 63 64 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alina Charaeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · Final
Sep 12
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Qinwen Zheng
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Naomi Osaka
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Thea Frodin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Mai Hontama
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Carol Young Suh Lee
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–72 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 83% | 50% |
| Sets won | 74% | 49% |
| Games won | 58% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.