Elena Rybakina vs Katie BoulterPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
83 meetings · sets 5–2
🇬🇧Katie Boulter
#60 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Elena Rybakina and Katie Boulter have met 3 times since 2023; Elena Rybakina leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2023 on grass. On grass courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Rybakina has taken 5 sets to Boulter's 2. Their most recent meeting: Katie Boulter won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rybakina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Elena Rybakina | Katie Boulter | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 39/57 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 26/70 | 38% | 15/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 37/62 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 46/49 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 39/49 | 52% | 12/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rybakina 2, Boulter 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Boulter
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Elena Rybakina and Katie Boulter are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 9, 2025
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rybakina | Boulter | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Elena Rybakina | Katie Boulter | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 13% | 2/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–3 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +6.4% | +3.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | +0.31u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 8 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Boulter's 40%).
| Opponent | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Townsend | W 63 64 | W 64 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 63 64 | L 36 36 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 67 64 76 | L 76 36 36 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | W 64 63 | W 61 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 67 46 | L 75 46 26 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 63 16 67 | W 63 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 62 46 46 | L 57 46 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 61 62 | W 75 76 |
| Eva Lys | L 36 61 46 | L 46 63 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 46 63 75 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Noskova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Katie Volynets
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Kayla Cross
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Ashlyn Krueger
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tyra Caterina Grant
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Leylah Fernandez
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 1st Round
Jun 21
Donna Vekic
The HSBC Championships - London · Semifinals
Jun 13
Elena Rybakina
The HSBC Championships - London · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–70 matches
| Metric | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 81% | 50% |
| Sets won | 73% | 49% |
| Games won | 58% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rybakina | Boulter |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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