Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–3
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wEkaterina Alexandrova and Marta Kostyuk have met 3 times since 2021; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2021 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 4 sets to Kostyuk's 3. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Kostyuk 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🤖 Servebot across 2,084 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 12, 2022
Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz - Portoroz
H Hard · 1st Round
May 10, 2021
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Alexandrova's 60%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | W 46 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | L 57 75 46 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | W 67 63 63 |
| Sofia Kenin | W 76 63 | W 46 63 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | W 63 26 62 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | W 76 46 64 | L 46 36 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | W 60 67 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | W | W 62 16 61 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | W 64 60 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–50 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 78% |
| Sets won | 49% | 72% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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