Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 2–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2019; Maria Sakkari leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at San Jose in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 0, Sakkari 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,026 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 31, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Alexandrova's 20%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 61 67 57 | L 64 16 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | W 63 62 |
| Barbora Krejcikova | L 57 26 | L 67 36 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | L 06 46 |
| Linda Noskova | L 16 16 | W 75 76 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 46 16 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 63 63 | W 57 63 60 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 16 36 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 49% |
| Sets won | 50% | 47% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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