Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 2–9
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#35 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2019; Maria Sakkari leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at San Jose in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sakkari leads 3–0. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 2 sets to Sakkari's 9. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 32% | 7/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 33% | 15/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 0, Sakkari 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Maria Sakkari are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2025
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 15, 2023
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 9, 2022
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 31, 2019
San Jose
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | -16.5% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | -2.47u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 654 mi · 1,053 km | 2,779 mi · 4,472 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Alexandrova's 30%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | L 46 63 36 | L 67 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | L 06 46 |
| Linda Noskova | W 62 62 | W 75 76 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 63 06 36 | L 46 57 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | L 16 64 26 |
| Clara Tauson | L 67 64 36 | W 63 63 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | W 63 62 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | W 64 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 46 16 |
| Lilli Tagger | W 63 63 | W 57 63 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Elina Svitolina
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Storm Hunter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Nao Hibino
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Linda Fruhvirtova
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 22
Yuliia Starodubtseva
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Robin Montgomery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–50 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 52% |
| Sets won | 49% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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