Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez have met 4 times since 2022; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 3–1. Alexandrova has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 6 sets to Fernandez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 13/28 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/52 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 15/34 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 9/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 29, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 15, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2022
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 9/14 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.34 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +9.4% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.32u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Fernandez's 40%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 67 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 46 46 |
| Mirra Andreeva | W 63 64 | W 61 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | W 61 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 36 63 62 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | W 63 62 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 57 64 46 | L 46 67 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 46 46 | L 76 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–52 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 49% |
| Sets won | 50% | 49% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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