Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บEkaterina Alexandrova
#24 ยท 31 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5 meetings ยท sets 7โ6

๐จ๐ฆLeylah Fernandez
#25 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
TitleEkaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez have met 5 times since 2022; Ekaterina Alexandrova leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alexandrova leads 3โ2. Across all meetings Alexandrova has taken 7 sets to Fernandez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Leylah Fernandez won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alexandrova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 16/23 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 12/27 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 12/30 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alexandrova 1, Fernandez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alexandrova
๐ค Servebot
Fernandez
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Ekaterina Alexandrova and Leylah Fernandez are ๐ค Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,080 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Oct 12, 2026
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 29, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Aug 15, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 3, 2022
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alexandrova | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Ekaterina Alexandrova | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ6 | 11โ5 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +37.6% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.26u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | 654 mi ยท 1,053 km | 3,433 mi ยท 5,525 km |
| Route | ROU โ CZE | SGP โ ROU โ CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Fernandez's 50%).
| Opponent | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Mirra Andreeva | L 67 67 | W 62 75 |
| Diana Shnaider | W 36 64 63 | L 36 06 |
| Talia Gibson | W 57 61 63 | W 75 60 |
| Mccartney Kessler | W 62 62 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | W 67 64 75 | L 67 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 26 26 | L 46 46 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 63 63 | L 26 67 |
| Magda Linette | L 26 64 16 | W 61 64 |
| Iva Jovic | L 36 63 46 | W 36 63 62 |
| Ann Li | W 61 67 61 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing ยท 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan ยท 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore ยท 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 50โ58 matches
| Metric | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alexandrova | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
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