Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 7 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 5–0. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 11 sets to Tsitsipas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 75% | 24/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 27% | 13/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 50% | 17/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 90% | 28/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 77% | 24/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 3, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 17, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 6, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 21/21 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 95% | 20/21 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 81% | 17/21 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 24% | 5/21 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 14% | 3/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 18–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +20.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +4.88u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tsitsipas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 50%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | W 46 63 64 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | W 64 63 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | W 26 63 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 26 36 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 36 67 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | W 76 75 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 67 57 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 63 62 | W 61 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Luciano Darderi
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Kimmer Coppejans
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Valentin Vacherot
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rinky Hijikata
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yoshihito Nishioka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alex Molcan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Norbert Gombos
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, SVK-GRE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–58 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 62% |
| Sets won | 52% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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