Denis Shapovalov vs Stefanos TsitsipasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Stefanos Tsitsipas have met 7 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 5–0. On clay courts Tsitsipas leads 2–0. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 11 sets to Tsitsipas's 6. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 27% | 11/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 92% | 23/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 76% | 19/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Tsitsipas 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Tsitsipas
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 4, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 23, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 20, 2023
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 3, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Mar 17, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Apr 6, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 5, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Stefanos Tsitsipas | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 9–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -8.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -1.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Tsitsipas's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 36 67 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | L 36 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | W 76 75 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 67 57 |
| Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | W 63 62 | W 61 75 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 63 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | W 64 67 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 76 67 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 63 67 46 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Jenson Brooksby
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Valentin Royer
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Damm
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alex de Minaur
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Final
Jul 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–46 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 57% |
| Sets won | 43% | 57% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Tsitsipas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 5 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.