Denis Shapovalov vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π¦Denis Shapovalov
#42 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
3 meetings Β· sets 6β4

πΊπΈReilly Opelka
#156 Β· 29 yrs Β· R
20wDenis Shapovalov and Reilly Opelka have met 3 times since 2017; Denis Shapovalov leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2017 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1β1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 6 sets to Opelka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Opelka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
π₯ Big Hitter
Opelka
π€ Servebot
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs π€ Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 14, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2017
London / Queen's Club
G Grass Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | - |
| ROI % | +12.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 7 | β |
| Distance | 2,080 mi Β· 3,347 km | β |
| Route | CHN β JPN | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Opelka's 20%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 63 | L 46 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 76 67 36 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 67 63 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo Β· 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu Β· 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 5
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris Β· 1st Round
May 24
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid Β· 1st Round
Apr 23
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona Β· 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona Β· Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo Β· Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami Β· 1st Round
Mar 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 25β45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 52% |
| Sets won | 52% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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