Denis Shapovalov vs Reilly OpelkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Reilly Opelka have met 3 times since 2017; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at London / Queen's Club in 2017 on grass. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 6 sets to Opelka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Reilly Opelka won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Opelka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Reilly Opelka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 75% | 9/12 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 25% | 3/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 25% | 6/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 69% | 9/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Opelka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Opelka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 14, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jan 21, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jun 1, 2017
London / Queen's Club
G Grass · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | - |
| ROI % | -7.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | — |
| Route | MEX → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Opelka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Shapovalov's 20%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 64 63 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 76 67 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 76 67 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 36 67 75 64 46 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Federico Cina
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Ethan Quinn
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 13
Taylor Fritz
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Barcelona · Round of 64
Mar 22
Taylor Fritz
Tokyo · Round of 32
Mar 22
Jack Draper
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Nuno Borges
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Ben Shelton
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 27–39 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 48% |
| Sets won | 43% | 51% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Opelka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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