Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Jannik Sinner have met 3 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–1. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 4 sets to Sinner's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 91% | 42/46 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 11% | 5/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 89% | 42/47 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 100% | 44/44 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 95% | 42/44 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Sinner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | - |
| ROI % | +12.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | — |
| Route | CHN → JPN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shapovalov's 33%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | W 76 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | W 63 64 64 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 46 64 61 | W 46 63 67 62 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 57 64 57 | W 62 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | W 62 75 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | W 61 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 75 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–61 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 95% |
| Sets won | 52% | 89% |
| Games won | 51% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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