Denis Shapovalov vs Jannik SinnerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Jannik Sinner have met 3 times since 2021; Jannik Sinner leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 2–1. Sinner has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 4 sets to Sinner's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Jannik Sinner | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 88% | 46/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 13% | 7/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 87% | 46/53 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 50/50 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 92% | 46/50 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Sinner 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Sinner
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 8, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 30, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 8, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Sinner | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Jannik Sinner | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 29% | 2/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 7–0 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.08 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | +0.55u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | — |
| Route | MEX → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Shapovalov's 30%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 57 64 57 | W 62 76 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | W 62 75 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | W 61 61 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W 75 62 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 62 62 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | W 64 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | W 61 75 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 46 46 | W 64 64 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | W 76 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | W 63 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London · Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–72 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 94% |
| Sets won | 43% | 87% |
| Games won | 49% | 62% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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