Daria Kasatkina vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–7
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#24 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 6 times since 2019; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 7 sets to Alexandrova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 38% | 19/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 6, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2022
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2020
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 57% | 8/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.51 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | +37.6% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | +5.26u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Kasatkina's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | L 57 06 | W 61 64 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 62 62 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | W 67 64 75 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | W 76 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 26 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 61 67 61 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 36 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Leylah Fernandez
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Mirra Andreeva
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Linda Noskova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Diana Shnaider
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Marta Kostyuk
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Kimberly Birrell
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Mccartney Kessler
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–50 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 46% |
| Sets won | 51% | 49% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.