Daria Kasatkina vs Ekaterina AlexandrovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
6 meetings · sets 7–7
🇷🇺Ekaterina Alexandrova
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Ekaterina Alexandrova have met 6 times since 2019; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Beijing in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 7 sets to Alexandrova's 7. Their most recent meeting: Ekaterina Alexandrova won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 75% | 18/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 37% | 19/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 43% | 6/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 72% | 18/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Alexandrova 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Alexandrova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ekaterina Alexandrova.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Apr 27, 2025
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 13, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 6, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 15, 2022
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2020
St. Petersburg Ladies Trophy - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 1st Round
Oct 3, 2019
Beijing
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Alexandrova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Ekaterina Alexandrova | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 93% | 13/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.34 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +9.4% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +1.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL → AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alexandrova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kasatkina's 10%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | W 67 64 75 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 57 64 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | W 76 46 64 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 46 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 26 26 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 61 67 61 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | W 63 63 |
| Jaqueline Cristian | L 67 63 26 | L 36 64 67 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | L 46 76 16 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 61 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Clara Tauson
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anna Blinkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Elina Svitolina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Iva Jovic
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–52 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 46% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.