Daniil Medvedev vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
6 meetings ยท sets 13โ8

๐จ๐ญStan Wawrinka
#127 ยท 41 yrs ยท R
Daniil Medvedev and Stan Wawrinka have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 4โ2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3โ2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 13 sets to Wawrinka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Wawrinka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Wawrinka
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Sep 22, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jan 27, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Sep 4, 2019
US Open
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 4, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass ยท Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Wawrinka's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 76 76 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 26 76 75 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | L 76 67 67 67 |
| Thijs Boogaard | W 63 46 76 | W 63 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 67 67 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 64 61 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 46 76 67 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | L 16 64 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 46 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 45% |
| Sets won | 65% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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