Daniil Medvedev vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Stan Wawrinka have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2017 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 13 sets to Wawrinka's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 55% | 6/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Wawrinka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Wawrinka
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 22, 2022
Moselle Open - Metz
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 27, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Sep 4, 2019
US Open
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 4, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 25% | 1/4 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.74 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Wawrinka's 30%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Roman Safiullin | W 75 64 | L 36 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | W 57 76 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | L 67 67 06 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | W 26 76 75 |
| Thijs Boogaard | W 63 46 76 | W 63 64 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | L 36 63 36 46 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 62 64 | L 67 67 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 46 76 67 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 57 57 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Gustavo Heide
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Matteo Berrettini
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 34% |
| Sets won | 66% | 40% |
| Games won | 56% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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