Jannik Sinner vs Stan WawrinkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฎ๐นJannik Sinner
#1 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
7w6 meetings ยท sets 11โ7

๐จ๐ญStan Wawrinka
#127 ยท 41 yrs ยท R
Jannik Sinner and Stan Wawrinka have met 6 times since 2019; Jannik Sinner leads 4โ2. Their first meeting came at US Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Sinner leads 3โ2. Sinner has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Sinner has taken 11 sets to Wawrinka's 7. Their most recent meeting: Jannik Sinner won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sinner | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jannik Sinner | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 46/52 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 13% | 7/53 | 35% | 13/37 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 87% | 46/53 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | โ | 61% | 14/23 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 12/15 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 50/50 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 92% | 46/50 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sinner 2, Wawrinka 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sinner
๐ The Complete Package
Wawrinka
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Mar 14, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 4th Round
Feb 17, 2023
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Oct 17, 2019
Antwerp
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 27, 2019
US Open
H Hard ยท Round of 128
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sinner | Wawrinka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jannik Sinner | Stan Wawrinka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 10 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 15 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 20 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7โ0 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.08 | 3.00 |
| ROI % | +7.9% | -48.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.55u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 2 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Sinner has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wawrinka's 20%).
| Opponent | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 76 76 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 46 63 67 62 63 | W 61 76 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 76 | L 67 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W 64 64 | L 46 67 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 62 57 64 | L 26 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | W 63 64 | L 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 62 75 | L 46 76 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 | L 46 26 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 62 | L 36 76 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Shintaro Mochizuki
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 5
Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Nuno Borges
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Miomir Kecmanovic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris ยท 2nd Round
May 28
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 21
Dalibor Svrcina
Cancun Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Matteo Berrettini
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Jesper de Jong
French Open - Paris ยท 1st Round
May 25
Alex Michelsen
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 2nd Round
May 20
Raul Brancaccio
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva ยท 1st Round
May 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ72 matches
| Metric | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 94% | 45% |
| Sets won | 87% | 48% |
| Games won | 62% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sinner | Wawrinka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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