Daniil Medvedev vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Roger Federer have met 3 times since 2018; Roger Federer leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Federer leads 3–0. Federer has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 1 sets to Federer's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roger Federer won at ATP Masters 1000 Miami (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Federer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roger Federer.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 24, 2018
Basel
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | - |
| ROI % | -39.7% | - |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | - |
| Sets won | 65% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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