Daniil Medvedev vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Roger Federer have met 3 times since 2018; Roger Federer leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Federer leads 3–0. Federer has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 1 sets to Federer's 6. Their most recent meeting: Roger Federer won at ATP Masters 1000 Miami (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Federer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Federer
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 16
Oct 24, 2018
Basel
H Hard · Semifinals
Oct 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | -15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 68–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | - |
| Sets won | 66% | - |
| Games won | 56% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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