Marin Cilic vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Marin Cilic and Roger Federer have met 5 times since 2016; Roger Federer leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon in 2016 on grass. On grass courts Federer leads 2–0. On hard courts Federer leads 2–0. Federer has won the last 5 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Federer leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Cilic has taken 6 sets to Federer's 14. Their most recent meeting: Roger Federer won at Roland Garros (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cilic | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Marin Cilic | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 5/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 10/39 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 10/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 42% | 8/19 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cilic 0, Federer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Federer
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 2, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Jan 28, 2018
Australian Open
H Hard · Final
Nov 6, 2017
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard · Round Robin
Jul 16, 2017
Wimbledon
G Grass · Final
Jul 6, 2016
Wimbledon
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cilic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.30 | - |
| ROI % | -34.5% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.76u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cilic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Nuno Borges
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Denis Shapovalov
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · 1st Round
Jun 8
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon · Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon · Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon · Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle · Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle · Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros · Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–44 matches
| Metric | Cilic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | - |
| Sets won | 48% | - |
| Games won | 50% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cilic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 4 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cilic | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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