Alexander Zverev vs Roger FedererPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฉ๐ชAlexander Zverev
#2 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
7 meetings ยท sets 9โ8
๐จ๐ญRoger Federer
Unranked
268wAlexander Zverev and Roger Federer have met 7 times since 2016; Alexander Zverev leads 4โ3. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2016 on clay. On hard courts Zverev leads 3โ1. On grass courts they are level 1โ1. Zverev has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1โ1. Across all meetings Zverev has taken 9 sets to Federer's 8. Their most recent meeting: Alexander Zverev won at ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Zverev | Federer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Alexander Zverev | Roger Federer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 27/41 | โ | |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | โ | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 21/60 | โ | |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 25/48 | โ | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 27% | 3/11 | โ | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 19/28 | โ | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 36/42 | โ | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 27/42 | โ | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample โ read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Zverev 2, Federer 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Zverev
๐ค Servebot
Federer
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ฏ Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Oct 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Nov 17, 2018
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Nov 6, 2017
Nitto ATP Finals
H Hard ยท Round Robin
Aug 13, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard ยท Final
Jun 25, 2017
Halle
G Grass ยท Final
Jun 16, 2016
Halle
G Grass ยท Semifinals
May 10, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay ยท Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Zverev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14โ4 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | - |
| ROI % | -5.0% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Zverev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 4 | โ |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 19
Terence Atmane
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Cameron Norrie
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Final
Jul 12
Arthur Fery
Wimbledon - London ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Taylor Fritz
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon - London ยท 4th Round
Jul 7
Richard Gasquet
Wimbledon ยท Round of 64
Jul 11
Adrian Mannarino
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jul 11
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Lorenzo Sonego
Wimbledon ยท Round of 16
Jul 11
Cameron Norrie
Wimbledon ยท Round of 32
Jul 11
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Halle ยท Round of 16
Jun 14
Ilya Ivashka
Halle ยท Round of 32
Jun 14
Dominik Koepfer
Roland Garros ยท Round of 32
Jun 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 80โ80 matches
| Metric | Zverev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 74% | - |
| Sets won | 68% | - |
| Games won | 55% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Zverev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Zverev | Federer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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