Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#8 · 30 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 7–0
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wDaniil Medvedev and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2021; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 7 sets to Baena's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 9, 2024
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 11, 2021
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 62 76 | L 36 26 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 46 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 55% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
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