Daniil Medvedev vs Roberto Bautista AgutPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Roberto Bautista Agut have met 7 times since 2017; Roberto Bautista Agut leads 5–2. Their first meeting came at Chennai in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Agut leads 3–1. On grass courts Agut leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Agut leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 5 sets to Agut's 10. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Bautista Agut won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Bautista Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 33% | 5/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 29% | 7/24 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 64% | 7/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Bautista Agut 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Agut
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Roberto Bautista Agut.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jun 23, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Oct 7, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 23, 2022
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Jun 17, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Mar 31, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 26, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 8, 2017
Chennai
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Agut | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Roberto Bautista Agut | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -77.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -3.85u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Agut's 20%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | L 16 36 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | L 26 57 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | L 26 46 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 64 26 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 64 67 64 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | L 04 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | W 76 76 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | L 63 36 26 |
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 63 | L 46 76 46 06 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 64 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Joao Fonseca
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Raphael Collignon
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Benito Sanchez Martinez
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Marcos Giron
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hynek Barton
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Brandon Nakashima
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Zizou Bergs
Valencia Challenger · 2nd Round
May 14
Pedro Martinez
Valencia Challenger · 1st Round
May 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 32% |
| Sets won | 65% | 36% |
| Games won | 55% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Agut |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 2 |
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