Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno Busta have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 4–2. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati (2021).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
🤖 Servebot
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 334 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
6 career meetings, newest first
Aug 20, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jun 22, 2021
Mallorca
G Grass · Semifinals
Oct 30, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Round of 64
Mar 12, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2017
Moscow
H Hard · Round of 16
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Busta | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Pablo Carreno Busta | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 50% | 6/12 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/12 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 2.03 |
| ROI % | -10.5% | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.36u | +0.83u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Busta's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 76 75 36 64 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 62 36 63 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 57 75 75 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | L 46 26 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 26 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 36 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | W 46 76 62 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | L 64 57 36 |
Last five matches per player
Terence Atmane
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 16
Jun 17
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 15
Kamil Majchrzak
Libema Open · Semifinals
Jun 13
Marin Cilic
Libema Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Thijs Boogaard
Libema Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Terra Wortmann Open · Round of 32
Jun 9
Adam Walton
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Jannik Sinner
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Semifinals
May 16
Rafael Jodar
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 29
Thanasi Kokkinakis
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 27
Jiri Lehecka
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Sebastian Baez
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 16
May 14
Francisco Comesana
Copa Faulconbridge · Round of 32
May 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · Round of 128
May 6
Martin Damm
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 57–67 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 67% |
| Sets won | 64% | 60% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Busta |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
