Daniil Medvedev vs Marcos GironPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Marcos Giron have met 3 times since 2020; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 7 sets to Giron's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Marcos Giron | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 59% | 13/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 53% | 26/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 34% | 11/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 65% | 17/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 50% | 13/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Giron 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Giron
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marcos Giron.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 19, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 16, 2023
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 24, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Giron | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Marcos Giron | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.70 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -63.9% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -6.39u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Giron's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | L 61 36 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | L 75 16 46 |
| Brandon Nakashima | L 76 67 16 | W 76 61 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 36 64 62 | W 26 63 61 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 26 67 46 |
| Quentin Halys | W 67 63 64 62 | W 76 63 64 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | W 60 61 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 67 46 | W 46 64 75 64 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 57 46 |
| Jack Draper | W 61 75 | L 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Sebastian Baez
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ignacio Buse
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Henrique Rocha
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Hubert Hurkacz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Cruz Hewitt
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 44% |
| Sets won | 66% | 48% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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