Daniil Medvedev vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
2 meetings ยท sets 2โ2

๐ฆ๐ทMarco Trungelliti
#83 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
Daniil Medvedev and Marco Trungelliti have met 2 times since 2016; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Todi in 2016 on clay. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 2 sets to Trungelliti's 2. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 40% | 25/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 78% | 31/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 65% | 26/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Trungelliti 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Trungelliti
๐พ All-Court
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 56% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 124 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Trungelliti.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 16, 2026
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jul 7, 2016
Todi
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 5โ7 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -33.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -4.01u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Trungelliti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | L 67 76 67 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 63 76 | L 46 57 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | L 46 61 67 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 76 63 |
| Corentin Moutet | L 67 46 | W 46 63 64 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Hamad Medjedovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Yannick Hanfmann
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kyrian Jacquet
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Jay Clarke
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Martin Damm
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 66โ66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 59% |
| Sets won | 65% | 58% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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