Daniel Merida vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Marco Trungelliti have met 5 times since 2022; Marco Trungelliti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Gijon in 2022 on hard. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Merida has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Trungelliti leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 5 sets to Trungelliti's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 40% | 25/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 78% | 31/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 65% | 26/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Trungelliti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Trungelliti
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marco Trungelliti.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 22, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15, 2025
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Final
Apr 7, 2025
Madrid Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 8, 2022
Gijon
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 5–7 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -33.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -4.01u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Merida and Trungelliti posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | L 46 57 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 26 | L 67 76 67 67 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 67 36 | W 76 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 26 64 57 | L 75 57 16 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | L 60 46 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 75 64 | L 62 26 57 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 62 62 | L 67 76 67 |
| Max Houkes | L 63 36 46 | W 67 76 63 |
| Vilius Gaubas | L 16 46 | L 36 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Daniil Medvedev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Hamad Medjedovic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Yannick Hanfmann
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 21
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Kyrian Jacquet
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 13
Jay Clarke
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Martin Damm
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–66 matches
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 59% |
| Sets won | 57% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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