Daniel Merida vs Marco TrungellitiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Marco Trungelliti have met 5 times since 2022; Marco Trungelliti leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Gijon in 2022 on hard. On clay courts they are level 2–2. Merida has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Trungelliti leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 5 sets to Trungelliti's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Merida won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 48% | 30/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 47% | 15/32 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 74% | 25/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 53% | 18/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Merida 1, Trungelliti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Trungelliti
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,152 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 23, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Apr 21, 2026
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 15, 2025
Lyon Challenger
C Clay · Final
Apr 7, 2025
Madrid Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 8, 2022
Gijon
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Trungelliti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Marco Trungelliti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 14/14 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 79% | 11/14 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 50% | 7/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 14% | 2/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 2.47 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | +0.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 5,160 mi · 8,304 km |
| Route | CHN | POL → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Merida has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Trungelliti's 30%).
| Opponent | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 63 36 57 26 | L 46 57 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 26 | L 67 76 67 67 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 67 36 | W 76 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 26 64 57 | L 75 57 16 |
| Zachary Svajda | L 06 76 26 | L 60 46 67 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 75 64 | L 62 26 57 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | W 46 63 64 |
| Billy Harris | W 63 75 | L 63 46 46 |
| Joel Schwaerzler | W 62 62 | L 67 76 67 |
| Max Houkes | L 63 36 46 | W 67 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Alex Molcan
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Martin Landaluce
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Marco Cecchinato
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Sean Cuenin
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Tiago Pereira
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–68 matches
| Metric | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 53% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Trungelliti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 2 |
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