Daniil Medvedev vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Tien's 7. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 39% | 18/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 89% | 25/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 57% | 16/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Learner Tien.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 8, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 5,722 mi · 9,208 km |
| Route | CHN | GBR → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Tien's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 67 36 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | W 63 26 107 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 46 64 46 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 64 61 62 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 63 76 |
| Daniel Merida | W 36 63 75 62 | W 63 62 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | L 76 46 67 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 57 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Casper Ruud
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Zachary Svajda
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Zverev
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 27
Flavio Cobolli
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Jiri Lehecka
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 5
Sep 19
Jakub Mensik
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CZE-USA · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Karen Khachanov
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 66% |
| Sets won | 66% | 60% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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