Daniil Medvedev vs Learner TienPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Learner Tien have met 3 times since 2025; Learner Tien leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Tien leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Tien's 7. Their most recent meeting: Learner Tien won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Learner Tien | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 50% | 16/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 46% | 22/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 92% | 24/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Tien 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Tien
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 25, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 4th Round
Oct 8, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Jan 16, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Tien | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Learner Tien | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 8/12 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 7–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -14.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -1.75u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Tien's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 26 | L 46 64 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 63 76 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 63 62 | W 64 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | L 76 46 67 36 |
| Marin Cilic | W 61 62 64 | L 57 67 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 61 61 | W 61 64 67 63 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 76 57 67 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | L 26 64 26 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 26 26 36 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 76 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Thiago Agustin Tirante
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Gael Monfils
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Adrian Mannarino
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 68% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Tien |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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