Daniil Medvedev vs Juncheng ShangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#6 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Title2 meetings ยท sets 4โ0

๐จ๐ณJuncheng Shang
#214 ยท 21 yrs ยท L
Daniil Medvedev and Juncheng Shang have met 2 times since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2โ0. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 4 sets to Shang's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Juncheng Shang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Shang 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Shang
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Juncheng Shang.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 24, 2026
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships - Dubai
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Feb 16, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Shang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Juncheng Shang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | 3โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.66 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -20.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -1.87u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km | 947 mi ยท 1,524 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Shang's 33%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 06 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 57 63 75 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | W 75 46 76 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 75 | L 60 67 61 36 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | L 36 36 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 67 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sebastian Baez
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Marco Trungelliti
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Luciano Darderi
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 6
Andrey Rublev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 16โ68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 38% |
| Sets won | 66% | 40% |
| Games won | 56% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Shang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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