Daniil Medvedev vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Gael Monfils have met 5 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sofia in 2019 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 8 sets to Monfils's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at China Open - Beijing (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 3, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 27, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 10, 2024
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 3rd Round
Feb 14, 2019
Rotterdam
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2019
Sofia
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Gael Monfils | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Monfils's 20%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | L 36 46 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 64 | L 26 36 63 62 06 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 67 16 | W 64 64 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | L 75 36 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 64 62 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 33% |
| Sets won | 66% | 42% |
| Games won | 56% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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