Carlos Alcaraz vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Gael Monfils have met 4 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Monfils's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 16, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.85 |
| ROI % | - | +19.0% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.57u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Monfils's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Tallon Griekspoor
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 1st Round
Apr 5
Felix Auger-Aliassime
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 31% |
| Sets won | 80% | 42% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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