Carlos Alcaraz vs Gael MonfilsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Gael Monfils have met 4 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Monfils's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Gael Monfils | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Monfils 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Monfils
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 9, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 16, 2024
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2024
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 3rd Round
Mar 16, 2022
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Monfils | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Gael Monfils | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 3.13 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +14.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +0.74u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Monfils's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 36 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 46 46 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Learner Tien
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Rinky Hijikata
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hugo Gaston
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid · 1st Round
Apr 23
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 33% |
| Sets won | 78% | 42% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 3 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Monfils |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.