Daniel Merida vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Daniil Medvedev have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 1 sets to Medvedev's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 23/37 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 23/59 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 31/34 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.13 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -15.2% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.91u | -4.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 8 shared opponents, both Merida and Medvedev posted a 63% win rate.
| Opponent | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 36 26 | L 57 36 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 64 75 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | W 61 62 | W 36 64 62 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | L 46 26 | L 36 46 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 63 64 | L 67 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 67 63 61 | W 62 67 64 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 67 64 76 | W 61 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Martin Damm
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Henrique Rocha
Perugia Challenger · Final
Jun 7
Andrea Pellegrino
Perugia Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 6
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Perugia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Liam Broady
Perugia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 3
Ben Shelton
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–66 matches
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 70% |
| Sets won | 57% | 65% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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