Daniel Merida vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Merida and Daniil Medvedev have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Merida has taken 1 sets to Medvedev's 3. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Merida | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Merida | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 21/35 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/55 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 14/32 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 28/31 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Merida
🪃 Counterpuncher
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Merida | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Merida | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 4/4 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–2 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +10.6% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Merida and Medvedev posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 61 36 46 | L 36 67 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 67 62 64 64 | W 75 64 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 57 63 63 | W 64 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | L 67 46 36 | W 62 64 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 64 64 62 | W 62 63 |
| Martin Damm | L 36 26 | L 57 36 |
| Marco Trungelliti | W 64 16 76 | W 64 75 |
| Marin Cilic | W 36 61 61 | W 61 62 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 36 26 | L 46 06 36 |
| Ugo Humbert | W 63 63 | L 67 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Botic van de Zandschulp
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alejandro Tabilo
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Andrey Rublev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Marton Fucsovics
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marin Cilic
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · Quarterfinals
Aug 11
Ugo Humbert
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 61–68 matches
| Metric | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 72% |
| Sets won | 58% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Merida | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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