Daniel Evans vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2018; Daniel Evans leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Vancouver in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Evans leads 2–1. Across all meetings Evans has taken 7 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2022
Davis Cup, Group D, Glasgow
H Hard · Rubber 1
Aug 12, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 2, 2018
Vancouver
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Evans | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Evans | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | -47.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.90u | +1.71u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–51 matches
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 69% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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