Daniel Evans vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2018; Daniel Evans leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Vancouver in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Evans leads 2–1. Across all meetings Evans has taken 7 sets to Paul's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 0 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 25, 2025
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · 2nd Round
Sep 14, 2022
Davis Cup, Group D, Glasgow
H Hard · Rubber 1
Aug 12, 2022
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 2, 2018
Vancouver
H Hard · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.81 |
| ROI % | - | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–58 matches
| Metric | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 69% |
| Sets won | 33% | 64% |
| Games won | 44% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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