Daniel Evans vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Frances Tiafoe have met 10 times since 2015; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 5–4. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Evans leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Evans has taken 14 sets to Tiafoe's 12. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at cinch Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 61% | 20/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 36% | 5/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 38% | 18/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 96% | 27/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 3, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 26, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2020
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 10, 2019
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 15, 2015
Knoxville
H Hard · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 13–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.04 |
| ROI % | - | +23.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.21u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Tiafoe has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Evans's 0%).
| Opponent | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 16 26 | W 63 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Yannick Hanfmann
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Arthur Fils
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Kei Nishikori
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Alex Michelsen
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 8
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Valentin Vacherot
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–63 matches
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 71% |
| Sets won | 33% | 63% |
| Games won | 44% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 5 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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