Daniel Evans vs Frances TiafoePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Frances Tiafoe have met 10 times since 2015; they are level 5–5. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Tiafoe leads 5–4. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Evans leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Evans has taken 14 sets to Tiafoe's 12. Their most recent meeting: Daniel Evans won at cinch Championships - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 41% | 19/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 63% | 17/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 10 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 3, Tiafoe 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Tiafoe
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 620 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
10 career meetings, newest first
Jun 16, 2025
cinch Championships - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Oct 17, 2024
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 4, 2023
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 4, 2023
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 11, 2021
Stockholm Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 26, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 21, 2020
European Open - Antwerp
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 12, 2019
Basel
H Hard · Round of 32
Feb 10, 2019
Delray Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Nov 15, 2015
Knoxville
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Evans | Tiafoe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Evans | Frances Tiafoe | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 100% | 20/20 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 95% | 19/20 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 60% | 12/20 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 10% | 2/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 15–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -47.5% | +31.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.90u | +6.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 23
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Lorenzo Musetti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Felix Auger Aliassime
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 19
Lorenzo Sonego
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Terence Atmane
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–56 matches
| Metric | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 66% |
| Sets won | 52% | 59% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Tiafoe |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 5 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.