Cristian Garin vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Tommy Paul have met 5 times since 2018; Cristian Garin leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Newport Beach in 2018 on hard. On clay courts Garin leads 2–1. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Garin has taken 9 sets to Paul's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 22/40 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 1, Paul 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Apr 2, 2025
US Men's Clay Court Championship - Houston
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 12, 2023
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 24, 2022
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 17, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 12, 2018
Newport Beach
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.54 |
| ROI % | - | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Garin's 29%).
| Opponent | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | W 46 76 64 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 26 62 63 | W 36 63 64 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 36 26 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 62 62 | L 67 64 36 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 57 67 | L 63 36 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | L 57 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–50 matches
| Metric | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 70% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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