Cristian Garin vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2022; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Cordoba Open - Cordoba in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 3–0. Across all meetings Garin has taken 4 sets to Baez's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 22/40 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 1, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 26, 2026
BCI Seguros Chile Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 25, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 2, 2023
Chile Dove Men+Care Open - Santiago
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2022
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.90 |
| ROI % | - | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 4 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Garin and Baez posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 36 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 64 62 |
| Luciano Darderi | L 67 57 67 | L 46 36 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 62 62 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–64 matches
| Metric | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 55% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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