Cristian Garin vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garin has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 22/40 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Medvedev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 458 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 6, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
May 6, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.26 |
| ROI % | - | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Garin's 11%).
| Opponent | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 62 46 67 | L 57 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 46 06 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | W 63 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 63 76 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 63 67 | W 64 67 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 62 36 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 75 62 76 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 46 46 | W 61 61 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 61 57 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 70% |
| Sets won | 56% | 65% |
| Games won | 54% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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