Cristian Garin vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2019; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2019 on hard. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garin has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Medvedev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 7, 2023
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 6, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 4th Round
May 6, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Aug 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Garin's 14%).
| Opponent | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 62 46 67 | L 57 36 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 46 06 36 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | L 57 36 | W 63 62 |
| Nuno Borges | L 46 63 67 | W 64 67 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 62 36 67 |
| Jesper de Jong | W 75 16 61 | W 75 62 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | L 67 61 57 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–68 matches
| Metric | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 72% |
| Sets won | 53% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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