Corentin Moutet vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Moutet leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 5 sets to Medvedev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 12/15 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 11/37 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 11/20 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 12/19 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
🎾 All-Court
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 281 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · Final
Jul 25, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 22, 2021
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Moutet's 40%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 64 75 | W 46 64 63 |
| Marco Trungelliti | L 64 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | W 62 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 46 | W 62 61 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 46 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 46 63 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | W 63 76 |
| Quentin Halys | W 64 64 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 64 | W 62 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–68 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 72% |
| Sets won | 43% | 66% |
| Games won | 49% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.