Corentin Moutet vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Daniil Medvedev have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Mallorca Championships - Mallorca in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Moutet leads 2–1. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 5 sets to Medvedev's 5. Their most recent meeting: Corentin Moutet won at Erste Bank Open - Vienna (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 1, Medvedev 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 233 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 23, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 19, 2025
Almaty Open - Almaty
H Hard · Final
Jul 25, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 22, 2021
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -4.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Moutet's 30%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Marco Trungelliti | L 64 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | W 62 63 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 46 | W 62 61 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 64 75 | L 67 67 57 |
| Daniel Merida | L 36 46 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Marin Cilic | W 75 64 | W 61 62 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 46 36 | W 63 76 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 26 75 46 |
| Pablo Llamas Ruiz | L 46 63 67 | W 36 64 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–66 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 70% |
| Sets won | 47% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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