Coco Gauff vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#4 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
6Title5 meetings · sets 5–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#13 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka have met 5 times since 2019; Naomi Osaka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–2. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 5 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 63% | 33/52 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 30/68 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 32/59 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 88% | 7/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 64% | 9/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 40/43 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 33/43 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 2, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 4, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 24, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 77% | 13/17 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 5 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 10 or more | 18% | 3/17 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–3 | 12–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.44 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +14.3% | +7.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.44u | +1.27u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 10 | 6 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 350 mi · 563 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | AUT → CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Osaka's 60%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elena Rybakina | L 75 26 26 | L 64 67 46 |
| Leylah Fernandez | W 64 46 75 | W 64 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | L 46 26 |
| Elise Mertens | W 26 76 63 | W 61 62 |
| Alexandra Eala | W 60 62 | L 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 36 64 63 | W 46 64 63 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 26 61 67 | L 67 46 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 64 36 | W 62 76 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 63 61 | W 64 61 |
| Iva Jovic | W 57 75 62 | W 76 67 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Sara Bejlek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 23
Marta Kostyuk
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Marie Bouzkova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Liudmila Samsonova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Leylah Fernandez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Elise Mertens
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Panna Udvardy
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Semifinals
Aug 1
Elisabetta Cocciaretto
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Karolina Muchova
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–68 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 76% | 73% |
| Sets won | 69% | 67% |
| Games won | 58% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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