Coco Gauff vs Naomi OsakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Coco Gauff
#5 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 5–6
🇯🇵Naomi Osaka
#18 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
Coco Gauff and Naomi Osaka have met 5 times since 2019; Naomi Osaka leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Us Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Osaka leads 3–2. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 5 sets to Osaka's 6. Their most recent meeting: Naomi Osaka won at U.S. Open - New York (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Gauff | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Coco Gauff | Naomi Osaka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 30/49 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 75% | 12/16 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 31/65 | 32% | 14/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 8/9 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 11/17 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 37/41 | 94% | 32/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 30/41 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 2, Osaka 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Gauff
👑 The Complete Package
Osaka
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 4,271 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Sep 1, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 4th Round
Aug 4, 2022
Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic - San Jose
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 18, 2021
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jan 24, 2020
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 3rd Round
Aug 28, 2019
Us Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Gauff | Osaka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Coco Gauff | Naomi Osaka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 19/19 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 74% | 14/19 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 5 or more | 37% | 7/19 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 5% | 1/19 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 16–3 | 9–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.30 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +4.6% | -14.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.88u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Osaka has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Gauff's 50%).
| Opponent | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 36 36 | W 63 36 75 |
| Karolina Muchova | L 26 61 67 | L 57 61 67 |
| Sara Bejlek | W 64 61 | W 76 64 |
| Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano | W 76 46 62 | W 62 75 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 63 46 46 | L 16 46 |
| Iva Jovic | W 61 64 | W 76 67 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 61 64 | L 46 26 |
| Alexandra Eala | L | L 46 26 |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto | W 36 64 63 | W 46 64 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 26 64 36 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 7
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · Semifinals
Sep 11
Mirra Andreeva
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Iva Jovic
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 8
Cristina Bucsa
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Karolina Muchova
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Sara Bejlek
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Maria Timofeeva
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Elena Rybakina
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 7
Elise Mertens
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Katerina Siniakova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Anastasia Zakharova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–65 matches
| Metric | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 75% |
| Sets won | 68% | 68% |
| Games won | 57% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Gauff | Osaka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 3 |
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