Christopher O'Connell vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2019; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 6 sets to Paul's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 57% | 8/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 48% | 21/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 10, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 9, 2019
Knoxville
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 17% | 2/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | +0.17u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs O'Connell's 38%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Dino Prizmic | L 67 76 67 | W 62 63 57 64 |
| Zsombor Piros | L | W 76 63 |
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 36 | W 64 63 |
| Casper Ruud | W | L 64 76 46 67 57 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 57 67 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 46 76 | W 64 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | W 63 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 26 26 | W 62 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Sep 30
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Alexander Bublik
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Dino Prizmic
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–58 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 69% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 50% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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