Christopher O'Connell vs Tommy PaulPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Christopher O'Connell and Tommy Paul have met 4 times since 2019; Tommy Paul leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Knoxville in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Paul leads 2–1. Paul has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 6 sets to Paul's 8. Their most recent meeting: Tommy Paul won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Tommy Paul | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/45 | 49% | 20/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 39% | 14/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 1, Paul 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Paul
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 13, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 10, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
May 31, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 9, 2019
Knoxville
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Paul | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Tommy Paul | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 80% | 12/15 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.54 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | +12.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paul has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs O'Connell's 33%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 36 | W 64 63 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 57 67 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 46 76 | W 64 76 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | W 63 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 26 26 | W 76 63 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 26 26 | W 62 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Joel Schwaerzler
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Final
Jun 20
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Jun 19
Alexander Zverev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Learner Tien
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Kamil Majchrzak
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–51 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 69% |
| Sets won | 50% | 64% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Paul |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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