Christopher O'Connell vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Christopher O'Connell
#117 · 32 yrs · R
7w33 meetings · sets 2–8
🇷🇺Daniil Medvedev
#6 · 30 yrs · R
TitleChristopher O'Connell and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2020; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
🤖 Servebot
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 23, 2023
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Sep 3, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–3 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +26.8% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -2.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs O'Connell's 44%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 64 46 76 | W 76 63 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 62 63 | W 64 62 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 16 |
| James Duckworth | L 36 16 | W 67 63 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 26 36 | W 16 64 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 46 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | L 67 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–68 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 72% |
| Sets won | 52% | 66% |
| Games won | 50% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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