Christopher O'Connell vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฆ๐บChristopher O'Connell
#105 ยท 32 yrs ยท R
33 meetings ยท sets 2โ8

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#8 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Christopher O'Connell and Daniil Medvedev have met 3 times since 2020; Daniil Medvedev leads 3โ0. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3โ0. Medvedev has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 2 sets to Medvedev's 8. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at U.S. Open - New York (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 24% | 11/45 | 36% | 21/58 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 65% | 11/17 | 49% | 25/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 90% | 35/39 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 74% | 29/39 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 0, Medvedev 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
๐ค Servebot
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ค Servebot vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 31, 2023
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Feb 23, 2023
Qatar ExxonMobil Open - Doha
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 3, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | O'Connell | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Christopher O'Connell | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 5/10 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ5 | 6โ6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 1.26 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -39.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | -4.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN โ USA | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs O'Connell's 20%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | L 67 16 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 26 26 | L 36 67 |
| James Duckworth | L 36 16 | W 67 63 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 26 36 | W 16 64 75 |
| Marton Fucsovics | L 67 36 | W 62 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 64 57 26 | W 64 62 |
| Quentin Halys | L 36 46 | W 67 63 64 62 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | L 67 63 36 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 76 64 | W 63 64 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | L 64 67 76 26 36 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 4th Round
Aug 20
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
James Duckworth
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Joel Schwaerzler
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 25
Bernard Tomic
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท Final
Jun 20
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท Semifinals
Jun 19
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 47โ66 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 70% |
| Sets won | 50% | 65% |
| Games won | 49% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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