Casper Ruud vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov have met 4 times since 2021; Casper Ruud leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 6 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 15% | 2/13 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 9/44 | 46% | 18/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 20/36 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 4/7 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 11/22 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 45% | 10/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Shapovalov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Final
May 13, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 22, 2021
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–3 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.56 | 2.15 |
| ROI % | +6.5% | +12.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.65u | +2.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 10%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 61 76 | W 63 76 61 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 16 67 | L |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 46 26 67 | L 76 36 36 |
| Ben Shelton | L 63 46 36 46 | L 67 76 36 46 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 75 46 36 |
| Zachary Svajda | W 61 63 | L |
| Jaime Faria | W 67 64 62 | L 46 57 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | W 64 64 36 75 | L 76 46 57 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Bu Yunchaokete
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Luciano Darderi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Francisco Cerundolo
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Fnu Nidunjianzan
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Rigele Te
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NOR-CHN 4-0 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Christopher O'Connell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–53 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 56% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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