Casper Ruud vs Denis ShapovalovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov have met 4 times since 2021; Casper Ruud leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Ruud leads 2–0. On hard courts they are level 1–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Ruud has taken 6 sets to Shapovalov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Casper Ruud won at BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ruud | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Casper Ruud | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 23/30 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 3/13 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 10/43 | 42% | 15/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 58% | 21/36 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 10/19 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 44% | 8/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ruud 3, Shapovalov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ruud
💥 Big Hitter
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Casper Ruud and Denis Shapovalov are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 18, 2025
BNP Paribas Nordic Open - Stockholm
H Hard · Semifinals
Feb 9, 2025
Dallas Open - Dallas
H Hard · Final
May 13, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 22, 2021
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Ruud | Shapovalov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Casper Ruud | Denis Shapovalov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -48.8% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.44u | -0.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km |
| Route | CAN | MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Ruud has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Shapovalov's 10%).
| Opponent | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Joao Fonseca | L 67 36 | L 75 46 36 |
| Jaime Faria | W 67 64 62 | L 46 57 46 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 63 63 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | W 64 64 36 75 | L 76 46 57 |
| Mariano Navone | L 57 26 | L 46 26 |
| Raphael Collignon | W 76 62 | L 46 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 46 | L 36 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 63 64 | L 46 46 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 46 | L 46 64 36 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 67 76 76 | W 62 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Fonseca
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Jaime Faria
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Joao Fonseca
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
May 31
Tommy Paul
French Open - Paris · 3rd Round
May 29
Hamad Medjedovic
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–52 matches
| Metric | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 46% |
| Sets won | 64% | 43% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ruud | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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