Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20w5 meetings ยท sets 10โ8

๐ฉ๐ชJan-Lennard Struff
#44 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 5 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4โ1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ1. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 10 sets to Struff's 8. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 55% | 12/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 47% | 22/47 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Struff 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Struff
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 4th Round
May 7, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท Final
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 7โ6 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.27 |
| ROI % | - | +31.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +4.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 712 mi ยท 1,146 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Struff's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 57 67 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | W 76 76 75 |
| Brandon Nakashima | W 62 64 | W 46 76 76 67 76 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 67 63 26 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 64 62 64 | L 67 36 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 64 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 67 67 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 63 | L 36 46 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 46 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Alex Michelsen
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 4
Mariano Navone
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 2nd Round
Jul 22
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Jannik Sinner
Wimbledon - London ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 7
Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon ยท Round of 16
Jul 6
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London ยท 3rd Round
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ56 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 48% |
| Sets won | 80% | 48% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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