Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan-Lennard StruffPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Jan-Lennard Struff have met 5 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–1. On grass courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 10 sets to Struff's 8. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 48% | 12/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 44% | 21/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 0, Struff 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Struff
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 4, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Apr 30, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 4th Round
May 7, 2023
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Final
Jun 27, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Jun 5, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Struff | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Jan-Lennard Struff | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 11/11 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 46% | 5/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 5–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.86 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -1.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Struff's 20%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 64 46 36 |
| Jiri Lehecka | W 76 64 | L 67 36 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 76 46 61 | L 16 63 16 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 57 67 26 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 57 67 36 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 61 76 46 26 75 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 67 63 26 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 64 62 | L 76 46 46 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 67 67 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 46 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Daniil Medvedev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Martin Landaluce
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Thiago Agustin Tirante
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Francisco Cerundolo
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 50% |
| Sets won | 78% | 51% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 2 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Struff |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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