Carlos Alcaraz vs Facundo BagnisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Facundo Bagnis have met 4 times since 2020; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Cordenons Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 8 sets to Bagnis's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Miami Open - Miami (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Bagnis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Facundo Bagnis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Bagnis 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Bagnis
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Bagnis.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 24, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2022
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · Quarterfinals
May 22, 2021
Oeiras 3 Challenger
C Clay · Final
Sep 4, 2020
Cordenons Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Francesco Maestrelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Nicolas Kicker
Guayaquil · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Federico Agustin Gomez
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Aboian
Villa Maria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Villa Maria · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | - |
| Sets won | 78% | - |
| Games won | 59% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Bagnis |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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