Facundo Bagnis vs Juan Pablo VarillasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇷Facundo Bagnis
#871 · 36 yrs · L
48w7 meetings · sets 4–12
🇵🇪Juan Pablo Varillas
#232 · 30 yrs · R
4w3Facundo Bagnis and Juan Pablo Varillas have met 7 times since 2019; Juan Pablo Varillas leads 6–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Varillas leads 6–1. Varillas has won the last 3 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Varillas leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Bagnis has taken 4 sets to Varillas's 12. Their most recent meeting: Juan Pablo Varillas won at Santiago Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bagnis | Pablo Varillas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Facundo Bagnis | Juan Pablo Varillas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 3/6 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/2 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 3/8 | 29% | 18/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 2/6 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 1/2 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 0% | 0/1 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 5/5 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 3/5 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 5 of 7 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bagnis 1, Pablo Varillas 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bagnis
🏹 Frontrunner
Varillas
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 657 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Facundo Bagnis.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Mar 17, 2024
Santiago Challenger
C Clay · Final
Jul 20, 2023
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad
C Clay · 2nd Round
Nov 20, 2022
Sao Leopoldo
C Clay · Final
Apr 2, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 31, 2022
Cordoba Open - Cordoba
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 11, 2019
Santo Domingo
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 2, 2019
Campinas
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.21 |
| ROI % | - | +49.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +3.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | SMR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Varillas has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bagnis's 67%).
| Opponent | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Francesco Maestrelli | W 63 36 62 | W 76 46 63 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | W 60 36 63 | W 63 75 |
| Federico Agustin Gomez | L 26 67 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Antofagasta Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Nicolas Kicker
Buenos Aires Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Nicolas Kicker
Guayaquil · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Gonzalo Villanueva
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Federico Agustin Gomez
Villa Maria Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 19
Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
Villa Maria Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Leonardo Aboian
Villa Maria · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 15
Federico Aguilar Cardozo
Villa Maria · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Timofey Skatov
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Francesco Maestrelli
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jacopo Vasami
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Nicolas Mejia
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Luis Carlos Alvarez
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 8
Bruno Fernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–63 matches
| Metric | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 57% |
| Sets won | 63% | 56% |
| Games won | 57% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 4 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bagnis | Varillas |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 6 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.